UNI

Uniswap

UNI

3.6152

-0.54% today·+9.37% 24h·+9.24% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:19 AM

Desk

The lean

Red on the daily chart
Hourlyalready greenDailystill weakWeeklyalready green↑ 3.727 unless 3.3983

29%green

71%red

Near-term lean is red on the daily chart. That is not “red by Friday.” Hourly chart already green · Daily chart still weak · Weekly chart already green.

Daily

Red soon

Head & shoulders

Wave 1 · Re-accumulation range

Support
3.170
Resistance
3.727
Unless
3.3983

Thesis holds unless it loses 3.3983.

Hourly

Green soon

Double bottom forming

Wave 2 · High-range digestion

Support
3.565
Resistance
3.748
Unless
3.565

Thesis holds unless it loses 3.565.

Weekly prediction

Red soon

Wave 1 / A — first push

Head & shoulders

↑ 3.727

unless ↓ 3.3983

Magnet 3.727 up unless it takes 3.3983 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

On the weekly, short until 3.170.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Weekly chart

Short until 3.170

Stop 3.727

On the weekly, short until 3.170.

Head & shoulders on the daily. Supply is in control. Bounces are for reducing, not for heroics. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 3.17000, then 2.72600. Resistance 3.72700, then 3.74800. Count dies under 3.17000.

Leverage

Short market 3.6152 → 3.530. Stop 3.660 (45 pips).

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Short 3.6152

Your leverage

10x · liq 3.9767. Stop is 1.24%. Isolated only.

Next funding in 2h 41m.

Stop
3.660
45 pips
Take profit
3.530
2.36%
R : R
1.9R
to first TP
Liq at 10x
3.9767
223.21 / $1k · 80.70 margin

Short market 3.6152 → 3.530. Stop 3.660 (45 pips).

Short this print. extended green. Daily is Wave 1 / A — first push · Re-accumulation range. Isolated only. 1% risk per $1,000 is $10, about 223.21 units. Pick your own leverage.

Project

Uniswap is the spot DEX

Uniswap is the spot DEX. The token is a governance claim on the largest on-chain marketplace — fee switch is the whole debate.

Drivers — Spot volume and market share · Fee switch / protocol revenue · Unichain / L2 distribution

Risks — Fee switch stays off · Aggregators and new AMMs take flow

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

3.727

If resistance breaks

3.748

If 3.727 breaks, the next magnet is 3.748.

Support

3.170

If support breaks

2.726

If 3.170 breaks, the next bid is 2.726.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 1 / Head & shoulders. Uniswap is the spot DEX. The token is a governance claim on the largest on-chain marketplace — fee switch is the whole debate.

30 days

3.4161

3.170 — 3.6767

Wave 1 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 3.170 or the next impulse. Spot volume and market share.

60 days

3.217

3.170 — 3.8603

If Wave 1 holds, 60 days walks toward 3.8603. Uniswap is the spot DEX.

90 days

3.018

2.6442 — 3.9354

90 days prices the full head & shoulders plus Fee switch / protocol revenue. Invalidation 3.170.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 1 / A — first push

Markdown in motion · Head & shoulders

See the diagram
Red soon

Wave 1 · markdown in motion · head & shoulders. Red soon. Expect a Wave 2 pullback. The low of this first push is the line in the sand.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Markdown · Phase trend

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Wave target4.326
  2. Next resistance3.748
  3. Resistance3.727
  4. Last3.6152
  5. Fib 38.23.5272
  6. Fib 503.459
  7. Fib 61.83.3908
  8. Support3.260
  9. Next support3.170
  10. Invalidation3.170

11.0% above support · 2.9% to resistance

If resistance breaks

3.748

A close through 3.727 opens 3.748. If 3.260 holds, walk it toward 4.326. That is the only add.

If support breaks

3.170

A close under 3.260 looks for 3.170. If 3.170 gives way, the next bid is 3.170. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Supply is in control. Bounces are for reducing, not for heroics. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 3.26000, then 3.17000. Resistance 3.72700, then 3.74800. Count dies under 3.17000.

No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.

Elliott

Wave 1 — disbelief

The room is empty. Volume is honest. Nobody believes it.

Wave 1 is the first push against the old trend. It looks like a bounce that will fail. The people who buy it feel early and stupid. That is the whole point. Map the start of this push — that low is the line in the sand for everything that follows.

If Wave 1's low holds, you are early. Expect a Wave 2 that feels like death. Do not sell the low of 2.

Wyckoff

Markdown — the ice is broken

Lower highs. Bounces are gifts to sellers.

Once the ice (range low) gives way on volume, the cause built in the range expresses downward. This rhymes with Wave A/C. Do not average a falling knife. Wait for accumulation to start — a range after the decline, then a spring.

Bounces into the old floor are for exiting, not for heroics. The next bid is the next support, not your cost basis.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

Head and shoulders

Three peaks. The middle is the head. The story is topping.

Left shoulder, higher head, right shoulder that cannot match. The neckline is the tell. A close under it projects the head-to-neck distance down. A failed H&S (reclaim of the neck) is a short squeeze — do not stay short that.

Wait for the neckline close. Target is measured. Failed breakdown = squeeze.