Daily
Defend the levelBear flag
Wave 1 · High-range digestion
- Support
- 297.38
- Resistance
- 351.62
- Unless
- 329.75
Thesis holds unless it loses 329.75.
Tesla
TSLA
350.80
+2.61% today·-0.09% 24h·0.00% weekly
Playbook as of 5:19:12 AM
Desk
The lean
Red on the weekly chartHourlydefendingDailyalready greenWeeklystill weak↑ 368.34 unless 337.24
42%green
58%red
Near-term lean is red on the weekly chart. That is not “red by Friday.” Hourly chart defending · Daily chart already green · Weekly chart still weak.
Hourly
Defend the levelDouble bottom
Wave 5 · High-range digestion
- Support
- 331.12
- Resistance
- 351.26
- Unless
- 331.12
Thesis holds unless it loses 331.12.
Weekly prediction
Red soonWave 1 / A — first push
Bear flag
↑ 368.34
unless ↓ 337.24
Magnet 368.34 up unless it takes 337.24 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.
Swing
On the weekly, short until 297.38.
Swing setup · spot / bags
Where to add, where to take profits
Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.
Weekly chart
Short until 297.38
Stop 351.62
On the weekly, short until 297.38.
Bear flag on the daily. A level is doing the work. Defend it or step aside — do not invent a breakout. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 297.380. Resistance 351.620, then 409.280. Count dies under 297.380.
Leverage
Short market 350.80 → 342.00. Stop 355.00 (42 pips).
Leverage · crypto perps / futures
40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size
Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.
15m · market entry
Short 350.80
Your leverage
10x · liq 385.88. Stop is 1.20%. Isolated only.
Next funding in 2h 41m.
- Stop
- 355.00
- 42 pips
- Take profit
- 342.00
- 2.51%
- R : R
- 2.1R
- to first TP
- Liq at 10x
- 385.88
- 2.38 / $1k · 83.49 margin
Short market 350.80 → 342.00. Stop 355.00 (42 pips).
Short this print. Wave 1 / A — first push · High-range digestion. Daily is Wave 1 / A — first push · High-range digestion. Isolated only. 1% risk per $1,000 is $10, about 2.38 units. Pick your own leverage.
Project
Tesla is autos plus energy plus autonomy optionality
Tesla is autos plus energy plus autonomy optionality. The stock prices the robotaxi / FSD story more than deliveries.
Drivers — Auto margins and deliveries · Energy storage · FSD / robotaxi progress
Risks — Demand hole in core auto · Autonomy slips another year
Levels
If it breaks
Support, resistance, and the next magnet
Resistance
351.62
If resistance breaks
405.86
If 351.62 breaks, the next magnet is 405.86.
Support
297.38
If support breaks
243.14
If 297.38 breaks, the next bid is 243.14.
Path
Predictions for the next 90 days
Read from the daily and weekly charts
House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.
Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 1 / Bear flag. Tesla is autos plus energy plus autonomy optionality. The stock prices the robotaxi / FSD story more than deliveries.
30 days
354.31
297.38 — 354.31
Wave 1 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 297.38 or the next impulse. Auto margins and deliveries.
60 days
375.73
297.38 — 405.86
If Wave 1 holds, 60 days walks toward 405.86. Tesla is autos plus energy plus autonomy optionality.
90 days
388.20
285.48 — 429.74
90 days prices the full bear flag plus Energy storage. Invalidation 297.38.
Charts
Daily, hourly, weekly
Red soon
Wave 1 · markdown in motion · bear flag. Red soon. Expect a Wave 2 pullback. The low of this first push is the line in the sand.
Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings
Elliott — where we are
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 4
- 5
- A
- B
- C
Wyckoff — Markdown · Phase trend
- Accum.
- Markup
- Distrib.
- Markdown
Power of 3
- Accumulate
- Manipulate
- Expand
Levels
- Next resistance432.86
- Wave target405.86
- Resistance351.62
- Last350.80
- Support337.24
- Fib 38.2330.90
- Fib 50324.50
- Fib 61.8318.10
- Next support297.38
- Invalidation297.38
4.1% above support · 0.1% to resistance
If resistance breaks
432.86
A close through 351.62 opens 432.86. If 337.24 holds, walk it toward 405.86. That is the only add.
If support breaks
297.38
A close under 337.24 looks for 297.38. If 297.38 gives way, the next bid is 297.38. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.
What to do
Supply is in control. Bounces are for reducing, not for heroics. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 337.240, then 297.380. Resistance 351.620, then 432.860. Count dies under 297.380.
No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.
Elliott
Wave 1 — disbelief
The room is empty. Volume is honest. Nobody believes it.
Wave 1 is the first push against the old trend. It looks like a bounce that will fail. The people who buy it feel early and stupid. That is the whole point. Map the start of this push — that low is the line in the sand for everything that follows.
If Wave 1's low holds, you are early. Expect a Wave 2 that feels like death. Do not sell the low of 2.
Wyckoff
Markdown — the ice is broken
Lower highs. Bounces are gifts to sellers.
Once the ice (range low) gives way on volume, the cause built in the range expresses downward. This rhymes with Wave A/C. Do not average a falling knife. Wait for accumulation to start — a range after the decline, then a spring.
Bounces into the old floor are for exiting, not for heroics. The next bid is the next support, not your cost basis.
Power of 3
PO3 — accumulate in the box
Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.
Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.
Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.
Pattern
Bear flag
A sharp drop, then a tight upward channel.
Same idea inverted. The bounce is inventory. The cheat is the break of the flag low.
Sell the flag low, stop above the flag high. Do not confuse a bear flag for a new Wave 1.