SPCX

SpaceX

SPCX

139.42

+0.15% today·-0.16% 24h·0.00% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:54 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the daily chart
HourlychopDailygreen soonWeeklychop↑ 149.60 unless 131.05

68%green

32%red

Near-term lean is green on the daily chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart chop · Daily chart green soon · Weekly chart chop.

Daily

Green soon

Rising wedge (defending)

Wave 5 · Phase C spring — the last shakeout

Support
135.50
Resistance
149.60
Unless
135.50

Thesis holds unless it loses 135.50.

Hourly

Building cause

No textbook pattern locked

Unclear · Re-accumulation range

Support
—
Resistance
—
Unless
131.05

Thesis holds unless it loses 131.05.

Weekly prediction

Building cause

Count unclear

No textbook pattern locked

↑ 149.60

unless ↓ 131.05

Magnet 149.60 up unless it takes 131.05 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

No trade. Wait for 149.60 to break.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Daily chart

Stand aside

No trade. Wait for 149.60 to break.

Wave 5 with no named pattern. Forcing a side here is how accounts die.

Leverage

No leverage ticket.

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Stand aside

No leverage ticket.

Votes split across daily, 15m, and the live tape. No perp.

Project

SpaceX is the listed launch, Starlink, and orbital-AI franchise (Nasdaq: SPCX)

SpaceX is the listed launch, Starlink, and orbital-AI franchise (Nasdaq: SPCX). Starlink cash and Starship cadence still write the tape.

Drivers — Starlink subscribers and cash · Launch cadence / Starship · Orbital compute / government backlog

Risks — Execution on Starship · Valuation after the IPO pop · Regulatory or constellation risk

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

149.60

If resistance breaks

163.70

If 149.60 breaks, the next magnet is 163.70.

Support

135.50

If support breaks

121.40

If 135.50 breaks, the next bid is 121.40.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 5 / Rising wedge (defending). SpaceX is the listed launch, Starlink, and orbital-AI franchise (Nasdaq: SPCX). Starlink cash and Starship cadence still write the tape.

30 days

143.83

135.50 — 145.77

Wave 5 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 135.50 or the next impulse. Starlink subscribers and cash.

60 days

148.24

135.50 — 149.80

If Wave 5 holds, 60 days walks toward 149.80. SpaceX is the listed launch, Starlink, and orbital-AI franchise (Nasdaq: SPCX).

90 days

152.64

107.01 — 157.29

90 days prices the full rising wedge (defending) plus Launch cadence / Starship. Invalidation 135.50.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Count unclear

No range yet · No textbook pattern locked

See the diagram
Building cause

Unclear · no range yet · no textbook pattern. Building cause. Need tape before a count can be honest.

Not enough swings to draw a map.

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Accum. · Phase A

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Last139.42

If resistance breaks

—

If the last swing holds, walk it toward the last swing. That is the only add.

If support breaks

—

If the last swing gives way, the next bid is the last swing. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

No tape yet.

Phase A — the stopping action. Selling climax or buying climax. The old trend takes a breath.

Elliott

Count unclear

The page is still being written.

Not enough confirmed swings, or the last pivots do not lock a textbook count. Honesty beats a forced label. Use support, resistance, and Wyckoff until the wave announces itself.

Do not invent a Wave 3. Trade the level in front of you.

Wyckoff

Accumulation — building cause

Boring on purpose. Size is absorbing supply after a decline.

After markdown, the composite operator builds a cause. Phase A stops the downtrend (SC, AR). Phase B is time. Phase C is the spring — the last shakeout. Phase D shows strength. Phase E leaves the creek. Your job in accumulation is to mark the floor and wait for the lie, not to invent a trend.

The spring (false breakdown that closes back in) is the last cheap inventory. Markup starts when the range high is jumped on volume.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

No textbook pattern locked

The last swings do not name themselves.

That is not a failure. Most of the tape is not a named pattern. Trade the levels, the wave, and the Wyckoff phase. A ghost H&S is how people fade a Wave 3.

No name, no measured move. Use support, resistance, and invalidation only.