RKLB

Rocket Lab

RKLB

76.16

-4.91% today·+0.42% 24h·0.00% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:47 AM

Desk

The lean

Red on the hourly chart
Hourlystill weakDailystill weakWeeklygreen soon 78.20 unless 73.99

41%green

59%red

Near-term lean is red on the hourly chart. That is not “red by Friday.” Hourly chart still weak · Daily chart still weak · Weekly chart green soon.

Daily

Red soon

No textbook pattern locked

Wave C · Building cause after a decline

Support
75.46
Resistance
85.55
Unless
80.73

Thesis holds unless it takes 80.73.

Hourly

Building cause

No textbook pattern locked

Unclear · Re-accumulation range

Support
Resistance
Unless
80.73

Thesis holds unless it takes 80.73.

Weekly prediction

Green soon

Wave 2 · 45% retrace of Wave 1

No textbook pattern locked

78.20

unless 73.99

Magnet 78.20 up unless it takes 73.99 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

No trade. Wait for 85.55 to break.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Daily chart

Stand aside

No trade. Wait for 85.55 to break.

Wave C with no named pattern. Forcing a side here is how accounts die.

Leverage

No leverage ticket.

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Stand aside

No leverage ticket.

Votes split across daily, 15m, and the live tape. No perp.

Project

Rocket Lab is a launch-and-space-systems shop

Rocket Lab is a launch-and-space-systems shop. Neutron and government space are the next chapter after Electron.

Drivers — Launch cadence · Neutron progress · Space-systems backlog

Risks — Launch failure · Neutron slips

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

85.55

If resistance breaks

86.83

If 85.55 breaks, the next magnet is 86.83.

Support

75.46

If support breaks

73.99

If 75.46 breaks, the next bid is 73.99.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave C / No textbook pattern locked. Rocket Lab is a launch-and-space-systems shop. Neutron and government space are the next chapter after Electron.

30 days

75.46

75.4678.38

Wave C on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 75.46 or the next impulse. Launch cadence.

60 days

71.66

71.6680.60

If Wave C holds, 60 days walks toward 80.60. Rocket Lab is a launch-and-space-systems shop.

90 days

71.77

71.7782.82

90 days prices the full count plus Neutron progress. Invalidation 71.66.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 2 · 45% retrace of Wave 1

Markdown in motion · No textbook pattern locked

See the diagram
Green soon

Wave 2 · markdown in motion · no textbook pattern. Green soon. If this low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion — the cheat-code leg.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Markdown · Phase trend

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Wave target133.15
  2. Fib 38.281.88
  3. Fib 5080.35
  4. Fib 61.878.82
  5. Next resistance78.67
  6. Resistance78.20
  7. Last76.16
  8. Support73.99
  9. Next support73.87
  10. Invalidation72.76

2.5% above support · 3.0% to resistance

If resistance breaks

78.67

A close through 78.20 opens 78.67. If 73.99 holds, walk it toward 133.15. That is the only add.

If support breaks

73.87

A close under 73.99 looks for 73.87. If 72.76 gives way, the next bid is 73.87. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Looks like green is close — hold the floor and Wave 3 / markup can start. Count: Wave 2 · 45% retrace of Wave 1. Next support 73.9900, then 73.8716. Resistance 78.2000, then 78.6700. Count dies under 72.7635.

No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.

Elliott

Wave 2 — the trap

The move is over. Everyone says so. It is not.

Wave 2 gives back most of Wave 1. Classically it dies in the 50–78% box and refuses to break the Wave 1 start. This is the springboard. It is also where most people get shaken out because the story sounds finished. A Wave 2 that holds is the cheapest inventory you will see before Wave 3.

If the Wave 2 low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion. The count dies if Wave 1's origin breaks. That is the only line that matters.

Wyckoff

Markdown — the ice is broken

Lower highs. Bounces are gifts to sellers.

Once the ice (range low) gives way on volume, the cause built in the range expresses downward. This rhymes with Wave A/C. Do not average a falling knife. Wait for accumulation to start — a range after the decline, then a spring.

Bounces into the old floor are for exiting, not for heroics. The next bid is the next support, not your cost basis.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

No textbook pattern locked

The last swings do not name themselves.

That is not a failure. Most of the tape is not a named pattern. Trade the levels, the wave, and the Wyckoff phase. A ghost H&S is how people fade a Wave 3.

No name, no measured move. Use support, resistance, and invalidation only.