Daily
Defend the levelNo textbook pattern locked
Wave 1 · High-range digestion
- Support
- 80.56
- Resistance
- 87.19
- Unless
- 80.56
Thesis holds unless it loses 80.56.
Crude oil
WTI
84.45
+0.19% today·+0.07% 24h·-1.61% weekly
Playbook as of 5:19:51 AM
Desk
The lean
No edgeHourlydefendingDailydefendingWeeklystill weak↑ 87.19 unless 79.38
43%green
57%red
Timeframes disagree. Hourly chart defending · Daily chart defending · Weekly chart still weak. Not a calendar call.
Hourly
Defend the levelInverse head & shoulders
Wave 5 · Re-accumulation range
- Support
- 81.06
- Resistance
- 84.61
- Unless
- 81.06
Thesis holds unless it loses 81.06.
Weekly prediction
Red soonWave 1 / A — first push
No textbook pattern locked
↑ 87.19
unless ↓ 79.38
Magnet 87.19 up unless it takes 79.38 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.
Swing
On the 4h, short until 80.56.
Swing setup · spot / bags
Where to add, where to take profits
Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.
4h chart
Short until 80.56
Stop 87.19
On the 4h, short until 80.56.
Wave 1 on the daily. A level is doing the work. Defend it or step aside — do not invent a breakout. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 80.5600, then 74.2400. Resistance 87.1900, then 93.5000. Count dies under 74.2400.
Leverage
Short market 84.45 → 83.50. Stop 84.92 (47 pips).
Leverage · crypto perps / futures
40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size
Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.
1h · market entry
Short 84.45
Your leverage
10x · liq 92.89. Stop is 0.56%. Isolated only.
Next funding in 2h 40m.
- Stop
- 84.92
- 47 pips
- Take profit
- 83.50
- 1.12%
- R : R
- 2.0R
- to first TP
- Liq at 10x
- 92.89
- 21.28 / $1k · 179.68 margin
Short market 84.45 → 83.50. Stop 84.92 (47 pips).
Short this print. Wave 1 / A — first push · High-range digestion. Daily is Wave 1 / A — first push · High-range digestion. Isolated only. 1% risk per $1,000 is $10, about 21.28 units. Pick your own leverage.
Project
WTI is the US crude tape
WTI is the US crude tape. OPEC+ supply, US inventories, and the growth/dollar mix set the range.
Drivers — OPEC+ policy and spare capacity · US inventory / shale response · Global demand and the dollar
Risks — Demand scare · OPEC+ unwind / US supply surprise
Levels
If it breaks
Support, resistance, and the next magnet
Resistance
87.19
If resistance breaks
93.50
If 87.19 breaks, the next magnet is 93.50.
Support
80.56
If support breaks
74.24
If 80.56 breaks, the next bid is 74.24.
Path
Predictions for the next 90 days
Read from the daily and weekly charts
House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.
Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 1 / No textbook pattern locked. WTI is the US crude tape. OPEC+ supply, US inventories, and the growth/dollar mix set the range.
30 days
85.56
80.56 — 85.96
Wave 1 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 80.56 or the next impulse. OPEC+ policy and spare capacity.
60 days
86.68
74.24 — 100.14
If Wave 1 holds, 60 days walks toward 100.14. WTI is the US crude tape.
90 days
87.79
74.24 — 98.18
90 days prices the full count plus US inventory / shale response. Invalidation 74.24.
Charts
Daily, hourly, weekly
Red soon
Wave 1 · markdown in motion · no textbook pattern. Red soon. Expect a Wave 2 pullback. The low of this first push is the line in the sand.
Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings
Elliott — where we are
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 4
- 5
- A
- B
- C
Wyckoff — Markdown · Phase trend
- Accum.
- Markup
- Distrib.
- Markdown
Power of 3
- Accumulate
- Manipulate
- Expand
Levels
- Wave target100.14
- Next resistance93.50
- Resistance87.19
- Last84.45
- Support84.37
- Fib 38.282.24
- Fib 5080.72
- Next support80.56
- Fib 61.879.19
- Invalidation74.24
0.1% above support · 3.1% to resistance
If resistance breaks
93.50
A close through 87.19 opens 93.50. If 84.37 holds, walk it toward 100.14. That is the only add.
If support breaks
80.56
A close under 84.37 looks for 80.56. If 74.24 gives way, the next bid is 80.56. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.
What to do
Supply is in control. Bounces are for reducing, not for heroics. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 84.3700, then 80.5600. Resistance 87.1900, then 93.5000. Count dies under 74.2400.
No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.
Elliott
Wave 1 — disbelief
The room is empty. Volume is honest. Nobody believes it.
Wave 1 is the first push against the old trend. It looks like a bounce that will fail. The people who buy it feel early and stupid. That is the whole point. Map the start of this push — that low is the line in the sand for everything that follows.
If Wave 1's low holds, you are early. Expect a Wave 2 that feels like death. Do not sell the low of 2.
Wyckoff
Markdown — the ice is broken
Lower highs. Bounces are gifts to sellers.
Once the ice (range low) gives way on volume, the cause built in the range expresses downward. This rhymes with Wave A/C. Do not average a falling knife. Wait for accumulation to start — a range after the decline, then a spring.
Bounces into the old floor are for exiting, not for heroics. The next bid is the next support, not your cost basis.
Power of 3
PO3 — accumulate in the box
Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.
Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.
Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.
Pattern
No textbook pattern locked
The last swings do not name themselves.
That is not a failure. Most of the tape is not a named pattern. Trade the levels, the wave, and the Wyckoff phase. A ghost H&S is how people fade a Wave 3.
No name, no measured move. Use support, resistance, and invalidation only.