MSTR

Strategy

MSTR

108.07

+16.69% today·+3.66% 24h·0.00% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:20 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the hourly chart
Hourlyalready greenDailyalready greenWeeklyalready green↑ 104.78 unless 104.17

92%green

8%red

Near-term lean is green on the hourly chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart already green · Daily chart already green · Weekly chart already green.

Daily

Markup

Inverse head & shoulders

Wave 3 · High-range digestion

Support
91.67
Resistance
104.60
Unless
101.59

Thesis holds unless it loses 101.59.

Hourly

Markup

Inverse head & shoulders

Wave 3 · High-range digestion

Support
94.36
Resistance
104.60
Unless
101.59

Thesis holds unless it loses 101.59.

Weekly prediction

Markup

Wave 3 in progress

Rising wedge (defending)

↑ 104.78

unless ↓ 104.17

Magnet 104.78 up unless it takes 104.17 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

On the weekly, long until 118.03.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Weekly chart

Long until 118.03

Stop 105.50

On the weekly, long until 118.03.

Inverse head & shoulders on the daily. Trend is already paying. Buy dips against the last higher-low, do not fade it. Count: Wave 3 in progress. Next support 91.6700, then 90.0200. Resistance 104.600, then 104.780. Count dies under 91.6700.

Leverage

Long market 108.07 → 112.00. Stop 106.00 (41 pips).

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

15m · market entry

Long 108.07

Your leverage

10x · liq 97.26. Stop is 1.92%. Isolated only.

Next funding in 2h 41m.

Stop
106.00
41 pips
Take profit
112.00
3.64%
R : R
1.9R
to first TP
Liq at 10x
97.26
4.83 / $1k · 52.21 margin

Long market 108.07 → 112.00. Stop 106.00 (41 pips).

Long this print. high of day. Daily is Wave 3 in progress · High-range digestion. Isolated only. 1% risk per $1,000 is $10, about 4.83 units. Pick your own leverage.

Project

Strategy is a leveraged Bitcoin proxy with a software stub

Strategy is a leveraged Bitcoin proxy with a software stub. You are buying BTC with corporate leverage and issuance.

Drivers — BTC per share · Credit / ATM issuance terms · NAV premium or discount

Risks — Premium collapses · Forced issuance into a BTC drawdown

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

104.60

If resistance breaks

117.53

If 104.60 breaks, the next magnet is 117.53.

Support

91.67

If support breaks

90.02

If 91.67 breaks, the next bid is 90.02.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 3 / Inverse head & shoulders. Strategy is a leveraged Bitcoin proxy with a software stub. You are buying BTC with corporate leverage and issuance.

30 days

109.15

91.67 — 109.15

Wave 3 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 91.67 or the next impulse. BTC per share.

60 days

118.03

91.67 — 118.03

If Wave 3 holds, 60 days walks toward 118.03. Strategy is a leveraged Bitcoin proxy with a software stub.

90 days

121.79

90.02 — 121.79

90 days prices the full inverse head & shoulders plus Credit / ATM issuance terms. Invalidation 91.67.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 3 in progress

Phase C spring — the last shakeout · Rising wedge (defending)

See the diagram
Markup

Wave 3 · phase c spring — the last shakeout · rising wedge (defending). Markup. Wave 3 often extends 1.618 of Wave 1. Do not fade strength until a 4-wave pullback prints.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Accum. · Phase C

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Spring printed — the last shakeout. That is the lie before markup.

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Wave target118.03
  2. Last108.07
  3. Next resistance105.50
  4. Resistance104.78
  5. Support104.17
  6. Fib 38.2101.08
  7. Fib 5099.28
  8. Fib 61.897.49
  9. Next support91.67
  10. Invalidation91.67

0.1% above support · 0.5% to resistance

If resistance breaks

105.50

A close through 104.78 opens 105.50. If 104.17 holds, walk it toward 118.03. That is the only add.

If support breaks

91.67

A close under 104.17 looks for 91.67. If 91.67 gives way, the next bid is 91.67. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Trend is already paying. Buy dips against the last higher-low, do not fade it. Count: Wave 3 in progress. Next support 104.170, then 91.6700. Resistance 104.780, then 105.500. Count dies under 91.6700.

Phase C — the last lie. Spring or upthrust. This is the entry, not the breakout.

Elliott

Wave 3 — the meat

It already ran. The crowd arrives late. Pullbacks are shallow.

Wave 3 is the impulsive middle. It often extends 1.618 of Wave 1. Volume expands. The only sin is fading it because it 'already ran.' You do not call the top of a 3. You wait for a 4-wave rest that does not overlap Wave 1 territory.

Do not fade Wave 3. Add on shallow holds. The invalidation is the Wave 2 low.

Wyckoff

Accumulation — building cause

Boring on purpose. Size is absorbing supply after a decline.

After markdown, the composite operator builds a cause. Phase A stops the downtrend (SC, AR). Phase B is time. Phase C is the spring — the last shakeout. Phase D shows strength. Phase E leaves the creek. Your job in accumulation is to mark the floor and wait for the lie, not to invent a trend.

The spring (false breakdown that closes back in) is the last cheap inventory. Markup starts when the range high is jumped on volume.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

Rising wedge — defending

Higher highs, higher lows, but the floor is catching the ceiling.

Rising wedges are usually distribution in disguise. Demand is tiring. The tapers look like a trend until they are not. Defend them only with a hard stop under the last higher-low.

A close under the rising floor is the tell. Do not buy the fifth tap of a dying wedge.