ETH

Ethereum

ETH

2,251.91

-0.03% today·+17.89% 24h·+19.63% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:29 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the hourly chart
Hourlyalready greenDailyalready greenWeeklyalready green↑ 2,335.00 unless 2,116.80

73%green

27%red

Near-term lean is green on the hourly chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart already green · Daily chart already green · Weekly chart already green.

Daily

Markup

Double bottom

Wave 3 · High-range digestion

Support
1,821.91
Resistance
2,335.00
Unless
2,116.80

Thesis holds unless it loses 2,116.80.

Hourly

Red soon

Head & shoulders

Wave 1 · High-range digestion

Support
2,222.83
Resistance
2,258.46
Unless
2,222.83

Thesis holds unless it loses 2,222.83.

Weekly prediction

Markup

Wave 3 in progress

No textbook pattern locked

↑ 2,335.00

unless ↓ 2,116.80

Magnet 2,335.00 up unless it takes 2,116.80 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

On the daily, long until 2,335.00.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Daily chart

Long until 2,335.00

Stop 1,981.26

On the daily, long until 2,335.00.

Double bottom on the daily. Trend is already paying. Buy dips against the last higher-low, do not fade it. Count: Wave 3 in progress. Next support 1821.91, then 1803.20. Resistance 2335.00. Count dies under 1821.91.

Leverage

Long market 2,251.91 → 2,330.00. Stop 2,210.00 (42 pips).

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Long 2,251.91

Your leverage

10x · liq 2,026.72. Stop is 1.86%. Isolated only.

Next funding in 2h 41m.

Stop
2,210.00
42 pips
Take profit
2,330.00
3.47%
R : R
1.9R
to first TP
Liq at 10x
2,026.72
0.239 / $1k · 53.73 margin

Long market 2,251.91 → 2,330.00. Stop 2,210.00 (42 pips).

Long this print. extended into the high. Daily is Wave 3 in progress · High-range digestion. Isolated only. 1% risk per $1,000 is $10, about 0.239 units. Pick your own leverage.

Project

Ethereum is the settlement layer for L2s and RWAs

Ethereum is the settlement layer for L2s and RWAs. Staking yield and ETF access are real; fee compression on the L2s is the drag.

Drivers — L2 settlement and blob demand · Spot ETH ETF + staking yield · Stablecoin and RWA issuance on mainnet / L2

Risks — L2s keep more fee revenue · ETH/BTC beta on a BTC-only bid

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

2,335.00

If resistance breaks

2,848.09

If 2,335.00 breaks, the next magnet is 2,848.09.

Support

1,821.91

If support breaks

1,803.20

If 1,821.91 breaks, the next bid is 1,803.20.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 3 / Double bottom. Ethereum is the settlement layer for L2s and RWAs. Staking yield and ETF access are real; fee compression on the L2s is the drag.

30 days

2,482.80

1,821.91 — 2,482.80

Wave 3 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 1,821.91 or the next impulse. L2 settlement and blob demand.

60 days

2,498.45

1,821.91 — 2,498.45

If Wave 3 holds, 60 days walks toward 2,498.45. Ethereum is the settlement layer for L2s and RWAs.

90 days

2,623.37

1,803.20 — 2,623.37

90 days prices the full double bottom plus Spot ETH ETF + staking yield. Invalidation 1,821.91.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 3 in progress

Markdown in motion · No textbook pattern locked

See the diagram
Markup

Wave 3 · markdown in motion · no textbook pattern. Markup. Wave 3 often extends 1.618 of Wave 1. Do not fade strength until a 4-wave pullback prints.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Markdown · Phase trend

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Next resistance2,387.23
  2. Resistance2,335.00
  3. Last2,251.91
  4. Wave target2,070.25
  5. Fib 38.22,020.63
  6. Support1,938.36
  7. Fib 501,923.52
  8. Fib 61.81,826.41
  9. Next support1,798.16
  10. Invalidation1,512.04

16.3% above support · 3.5% to resistance

If resistance breaks

2,387.23

A close through 2,335.00 opens 2,387.23. If 1,938.36 holds, walk it toward 2,070.25. That is the only add.

If support breaks

1,798.16

A close under 1,938.36 looks for 1,798.16. If 1,512.04 gives way, the next bid is 1,798.16. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Trend is already paying. Buy dips against the last higher-low, do not fade it. Count: Wave 3 in progress. Next support 1938.36, then 1798.16. Resistance 2335.00, then 2387.23. Count dies under 1512.04.

No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.

Elliott

Wave 3 — the meat

It already ran. The crowd arrives late. Pullbacks are shallow.

Wave 3 is the impulsive middle. It often extends 1.618 of Wave 1. Volume expands. The only sin is fading it because it 'already ran.' You do not call the top of a 3. You wait for a 4-wave rest that does not overlap Wave 1 territory.

Do not fade Wave 3. Add on shallow holds. The invalidation is the Wave 2 low.

Wyckoff

Markdown — the ice is broken

Lower highs. Bounces are gifts to sellers.

Once the ice (range low) gives way on volume, the cause built in the range expresses downward. This rhymes with Wave A/C. Do not average a falling knife. Wait for accumulation to start — a range after the decline, then a spring.

Bounces into the old floor are for exiting, not for heroics. The next bid is the next support, not your cost basis.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

No textbook pattern locked

The last swings do not name themselves.

That is not a failure. Most of the tape is not a named pattern. Trade the levels, the wave, and the Wyckoff phase. A ghost H&S is how people fade a Wave 3.

No name, no measured move. Use support, resistance, and invalidation only.