DOT

Polkadot

DOT

0.787

-0.24% today·+4.19% 24h·+2.66% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:29 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the hourly chart
Hourlyalready greenDailygreen soonWeeklygreen soon↑ 0.808 unless 0.744

92%green

8%red

Near-term lean is green on the hourly chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart already green · Daily chart green soon · Weekly chart green soon.

Daily

Green soon

Double bottom forming

Wave 1 · Re-accumulation range

Support
0.744
Resistance
0.808
Unless
0.744

Thesis holds unless it loses 0.744.

Hourly

Green soon

Rising wedge (defending)

Wave 2 · High-range digestion

Support
0.781
Resistance
0.797
Unless
0.781

Thesis holds unless it loses 0.781.

Weekly prediction

Green soon

Corrective C (deep wash)

Falling wedge (coiling for green)

↑ 0.808

unless ↓ 0.744

Magnet 0.808 up unless it takes 0.744 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

On the weekly, long until 0.808.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Weekly chart

Long until 0.808

Stop 0.744

On the weekly, long until 0.808.

Double bottom forming on the daily. Looks like green is close — hold the floor and Wave 3 / markup can start. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 0.743600, then 0.722800. Resistance 0.807800, then 0.870500. Count dies under 0.722800.

Leverage

Long market 0.787 → 0.807. Stop 0.783 (44 pips).

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Long 0.787

Your leverage

10x · liq 0.709. Stop is 0.56%. Isolated only.

Next funding in 2h 40m.

Stop
0.783
44 pips
Take profit
0.807
2.49%
R : R
4.5R
to first TP
Liq at 10x
0.709
2272.73 / $1k · 178.95 margin

Long market 0.787 → 0.807. Stop 0.783 (44 pips).

Long this print. Wave 1 / A — first push · Re-accumulation range. Daily is Wave 1 / A — first push · Re-accumulation range. Isolated only. 1% risk per $1,000 is $10, about 2272.73 units. Pick your own leverage.

Project

Polkadot is a shared-security L0

Polkadot is a shared-security L0. The bid is real parachain usage, not another slot auction headline.

Drivers — Parachain fees and JAM / OpenGov progress · DOT unlocks vs burns · Cross-chain volume

Risks — Usage never matches the architecture · Inflation without fee sink

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

0.808

If resistance breaks

0.871

If 0.808 breaks, the next magnet is 0.871.

Support

0.744

If support breaks

0.723

If 0.744 breaks, the next bid is 0.723.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 1 / Double bottom forming. Polkadot is a shared-security L0. The bid is real parachain usage, not another slot auction headline.

30 days

0.799

0.744 — 0.799

Wave 1 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 0.744 or the next impulse. Parachain fees and JAM / OpenGov progress.

60 days

0.831

0.723 — 0.893

If Wave 1 holds, 60 days walks toward 0.893. Polkadot is a shared-security L0.

90 days

0.853

0.723 — 0.997

90 days prices the full double bottom forming plus DOT unlocks vs burns. Invalidation 0.723.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Corrective C (deep wash)

Phase C upthrust — the last squeeze · Falling wedge (coiling for green)

See the diagram
Green soon

Wave C · phase c upthrust — the last squeeze · falling wedge (coiling for green). Green soon. A close back above the last swing high would argue the wash is complete.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Re-dist. · Phase C

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Upthrust printed — the last squeeze. That is the lie before markdown.

Power of 3 · low raid

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Next resistance1.0461
  2. Resistance0.871
  3. Wave target0.871
  4. Fib 38.20.814
  5. Fib 500.797
  6. Last0.787
  7. Fib 61.80.779
  8. Support0.744
  9. Next support0.723
  10. Invalidation0.701

6.0% above support · 9.5% to resistance

If resistance breaks

1.0461

A close through 0.871 opens 1.0461. If 0.744 holds, walk it toward 0.871. That is the only add.

If support breaks

0.723

A close under 0.744 looks for 0.723. If 0.701 gives way, the next bid is 0.723. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Looks like green is close — hold the floor and Wave 3 / markup can start. Count: Corrective C (deep wash). Next support 0.743600, then 0.722800. Resistance 0.870500, then 1.04610. Count dies under 0.701116.

Phase C — the last lie. Spring or upthrust. This is the entry, not the breakout.

Elliott

Wave C — the last liquidation

Capitulation. The room is wrong and loud about it.

C-waves finish the correction. They often match A in length, sometimes 1.618. When they exhaust against a weekly floor, the next impulse can be violent. A C that undercuts the A-low and reclaims is a spring in Wyckoff clothes.

A close back above the last swing high argues the wash is complete. That is often Wave 1 of the next cycle.

Wyckoff

Re-distribution — pause in a downtrend

A bounce that cannot become a trend.

Same schematic as distribution, after markdown. The bounce is inventory for the next leg down unless a spring and SOS prove otherwise.

Treat strength as a short until the range high is reclaimed and held. Hope is not a sign of strength.

Power of 3

PO3 — the raid (Judas swing)

Stops just got tagged. The breakout looks real. It often is not.

Manipulation is the stop-run: sweep the lows (or highs) of the box, then fail back inside. Retail reads the sweep as a breakout. Size reads it as fuel. A low raid that reclaims is a long. A high raid that fails is a short.

The raid is the setup. Expansion is the other way. Chasing the raid is how you fund the real move.

Pattern

Falling wedge — coiling for green

Lower highs, lower lows, but the ceiling is falling faster than the floor.

Falling wedges often resolve up. They are the coil after a decline — Wave 2 geometry, or the last markdown before a spring. The cheat is a close above the last lower-high.

Close above the last lower-high. That is the start of green. The wedge floor is the invalidation.