BBAI

BigBear.ai

BBAI

3.200

-1.99% today·+0.95% 24h·0.00% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:12 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the daily chart
HourlychopDailyalready greenWeeklyalready green↑ 3.410 unless 3.010

92%green

8%red

Near-term lean is green on the daily chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart chop · Daily chart already green · Weekly chart already green.

Daily

Markup

Falling wedge (coiling for green)

Wave 3 · High-range digestion

Support
2.590
Resistance
3.410
Unless
3.008

Thesis holds unless it loses 3.008.

Hourly

Building cause

No textbook pattern locked

Unclear · Building cause after a decline

Support
—
Resistance
—
Unless
3.008

Thesis holds unless it loses 3.008.

Weekly prediction

Markup

Wave 3 in progress

Falling wedge (coiling for green)

↑ 3.410

unless ↓ 3.010

Magnet 3.410 up unless it takes 3.010 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

On the weekly, long until 3.3181.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Weekly chart

Long until 3.3181

Stop 2.590

On the weekly, long until 3.3181.

Falling wedge (coiling for green) on the daily. Trend is already paying. Buy dips against the last higher-low, do not fade it. Count: Wave 3 in progress. Next support 2.59000. Resistance 3.41000, then 3.78000. Count dies under 2.59000.

Leverage

No leverage ticket.

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Stand aside

No leverage ticket.

Votes split across daily, 15m, and the live tape. No perp.

Project

BigBear

BigBear.ai is a small-cap government AI name. Contract news moves it more than a franchise multiple.

Drivers — Federal contract wins · Backlog conversion · Cash runway

Risks — Dilution · Contract delay

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

3.410

If resistance breaks

3.780

If 3.410 breaks, the next magnet is 3.780.

Support

2.590

If support breaks

1.770

If 2.590 breaks, the next bid is 1.770.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 3 / Falling wedge (coiling for green). BigBear.ai is a small-cap government AI name. Contract news moves it more than a franchise multiple.

30 days

3.265

2.590 — 3.265

Wave 3 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 2.590 or the next impulse. Federal contract wins.

60 days

3.410

2.590 — 3.410

If Wave 3 holds, 60 days walks toward 3.410. BigBear.

90 days

4.1732

2.4864 — 5.460

90 days prices the full falling wedge (coiling for green) plus Backlog conversion. Invalidation 2.590.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 3 in progress

Markdown in motion · Falling wedge (coiling for green)

See the diagram
Markup

Wave 3 · markdown in motion · falling wedge (coiling for green). Markup. Wave 3 often extends 1.618 of Wave 1. Do not fade strength until a 4-wave pullback prints.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Markdown · Phase trend

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Next resistance3.780
  2. Resistance3.410
  3. Wave target3.3181
  4. Last3.200
  5. Fib 38.23.0968
  6. Support3.010
  7. Fib 503.000
  8. Fib 61.82.9032
  9. Next support2.590
  10. Invalidation2.590

5.3% above support · 7.0% to resistance

If resistance breaks

3.780

A close through 3.410 opens 3.780. If 3.010 holds, walk it toward 3.3181. That is the only add.

If support breaks

2.590

A close under 3.010 looks for 2.590. If 2.590 gives way, the next bid is 2.590. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Trend is already paying. Buy dips against the last higher-low, do not fade it. Count: Wave 3 in progress. Next support 3.01000, then 2.59000. Resistance 3.41000, then 3.78000. Count dies under 2.59000.

No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.

Elliott

Wave 3 — the meat

It already ran. The crowd arrives late. Pullbacks are shallow.

Wave 3 is the impulsive middle. It often extends 1.618 of Wave 1. Volume expands. The only sin is fading it because it 'already ran.' You do not call the top of a 3. You wait for a 4-wave rest that does not overlap Wave 1 territory.

Do not fade Wave 3. Add on shallow holds. The invalidation is the Wave 2 low.

Wyckoff

Markdown — the ice is broken

Lower highs. Bounces are gifts to sellers.

Once the ice (range low) gives way on volume, the cause built in the range expresses downward. This rhymes with Wave A/C. Do not average a falling knife. Wait for accumulation to start — a range after the decline, then a spring.

Bounces into the old floor are for exiting, not for heroics. The next bid is the next support, not your cost basis.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

Falling wedge — coiling for green

Lower highs, lower lows, but the ceiling is falling faster than the floor.

Falling wedges often resolve up. They are the coil after a decline — Wave 2 geometry, or the last markdown before a spring. The cheat is a close above the last lower-high.

Close above the last lower-high. That is the start of green. The wedge floor is the invalidation.