ADA

Cardano

ADA

0.184

-1.82% today·+5.19% 24h·+4.07% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:22 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the hourly chart
Hourlyalready greenDailygreen soonWeeklyalready green↑ 0.190 unless 0.171

76%green

24%red

Near-term lean is green on the hourly chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart already green · Daily chart green soon · Weekly chart already green.

Daily

Green soon

Head & shoulders

Wave 1 · Re-accumulation range

Support
0.171
Resistance
0.190
Unless
0.171

Thesis holds unless it loses 0.171.

Hourly

Green soon

Double bottom forming

Wave 2 · High-range digestion

Support
0.182
Resistance
0.187
Unless
0.182

Thesis holds unless it loses 0.182.

Weekly prediction

Red soon

Wave 2 · 72% retrace of Wave 1

Rising wedge (defending)

↑ 0.190

unless ↓ 0.171

Magnet 0.190 up unless it takes 0.171 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

On the weekly, long until 0.190.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Weekly chart

Long until 0.190

Stop 0.171

On the weekly, long until 0.190.

Head & shoulders on the daily. Looks like green is close — hold the floor and Wave 3 / markup can start. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 0.171200, then 0.158300. Resistance 0.190000, then 0.192400. Count dies under 0.171200.

Leverage

No leverage ticket.

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Stand aside

No leverage ticket.

Votes split across daily, 15m, and the live tape. No perp.

Project

Cardano is a research-led L1

Cardano is a research-led L1. The bid is academia-to-mainnet and African/identity pilots — slow, real, often late.

Drivers — On-chain usage after Hydra / scaling · Identity and government pilots · Staking participation

Risks — Ships after the market has moved · Lost mindshare to faster L1s

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

0.190

If resistance breaks

0.192

If 0.190 breaks, the next magnet is 0.192.

Support

0.171

If support breaks

0.158

If 0.171 breaks, the next bid is 0.158.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 1 / Head & shoulders. Cardano is a research-led L1. The bid is academia-to-mainnet and African/identity pilots — slow, real, often late.

30 days

0.187

0.171 — 0.187

Wave 1 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 0.171 or the next impulse. On-chain usage after Hydra / scaling.

60 days

0.197

0.171 — 0.214

If Wave 1 holds, 60 days walks toward 0.214. Cardano is a research-led L1.

90 days

0.202

0.158 — 0.202

90 days prices the full head & shoulders plus Identity and government pilots. Invalidation 0.171.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 2 · 72% retrace of Wave 1

Markdown in motion · Rising wedge (defending)

See the diagram
Red soon

Wave 2 · markdown in motion · rising wedge (defending). Red soon. If this low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion — the cheat-code leg.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Markdown · Phase trend

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Wave target0.303
  2. Next resistance0.200
  3. Fib 38.20.196
  4. Fib 500.191
  5. Resistance0.190
  6. Fib 61.80.187
  7. Last0.184
  8. Support0.171
  9. Invalidation0.169
  10. Next support0.155

7.5% above support · 3.2% to resistance

If resistance breaks

0.200

A close through 0.190 opens 0.200. If 0.171 holds, walk it toward 0.303. That is the only add.

If support breaks

0.155

A close under 0.171 looks for 0.155. If 0.169 gives way, the next bid is 0.155. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Supply is in control. Bounces are for reducing, not for heroics. Count: Wave 2 · 72% retrace of Wave 1. Next support 0.171200, then 0.155400. Resistance 0.190000, then 0.200000. Count dies under 0.168632.

No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.

Elliott

Wave 2 — the trap

The move is over. Everyone says so. It is not.

Wave 2 gives back most of Wave 1. Classically it dies in the 50–78% box and refuses to break the Wave 1 start. This is the springboard. It is also where most people get shaken out because the story sounds finished. A Wave 2 that holds is the cheapest inventory you will see before Wave 3.

If the Wave 2 low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion. The count dies if Wave 1's origin breaks. That is the only line that matters.

Wyckoff

Markdown — the ice is broken

Lower highs. Bounces are gifts to sellers.

Once the ice (range low) gives way on volume, the cause built in the range expresses downward. This rhymes with Wave A/C. Do not average a falling knife. Wait for accumulation to start — a range after the decline, then a spring.

Bounces into the old floor are for exiting, not for heroics. The next bid is the next support, not your cost basis.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

Rising wedge — defending

Higher highs, higher lows, but the floor is catching the ceiling.

Rising wedges are usually distribution in disguise. Demand is tiring. The tapers look like a trend until they are not. Defend them only with a hard stop under the last higher-low.

A close under the rising floor is the tell. Do not buy the fifth tap of a dying wedge.