ACHR

Archer Aviation

ACHR

6.454

-1.91% today·+0.06% 24h·0.00% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:52 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the weekly chart
HourlydefendingDailychopWeeklygreen soon↑ 6.485 unless 6.360

91%green

9%red

Near-term lean is green on the weekly chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart defending · Daily chart chop · Weekly chart green soon.

Daily

Building cause

No textbook pattern locked

Unclear · Re-accumulation range

Support
—
Resistance
—
Unless
6.0668

Thesis holds unless it loses 6.0668.

Hourly

Defend the level

No textbook pattern locked

Unclear · High-range digestion

Support
—
Resistance
—
Unless
6.0668

Thesis holds unless it loses 6.0668.

Weekly prediction

Green soon

Wave 2 · 41% retrace of Wave 1

Bull flag

↑ 6.485

unless ↓ 6.360

Magnet 6.485 up unless it takes 6.360 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

No trade. The daily has not chosen a side.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Daily chart

Stand aside

No trade. The daily has not chosen a side.

Unclear with no named pattern. Forcing a side here is how accounts die.

Leverage

No leverage ticket.

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Stand aside

No leverage ticket.

Votes split across daily, 15m, and the live tape. No perp.

Project

Archer is eVTOL — air taxis trying to certify and then fly a network

Archer is eVTOL — air taxis trying to certify and then fly a network. Certification and cash runway write this tape, not the render.

Drivers — FAA / certification path · Airline and city partnerships · Cash runway vs Joby

Risks — Certification slip · Dilution / cash burn

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

—

If resistance breaks

—

No resistance printed on this daily.

Support

—

If support breaks

—

No support printed on this daily.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Unclear / No textbook pattern locked. Archer is eVTOL — air taxis trying to certify and then fly a network. Certification and cash runway write this tape, not the render.

30 days

6.5241

6.0668 — 6.8606

Unclear on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 6.0668 or the next impulse. FAA / certification path.

60 days

6.5943

5.8241 — 7.4582

If Unclear holds, 60 days walks toward 7.4582. Archer is eVTOL — air taxis trying to certify and then fly a network.

90 days

6.6644

5.8241 — 7.8312

90 days prices the full count plus Airline and city partnerships. Invalidation 5.8241.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 2 · 41% retrace of Wave 1

Markup in motion · Bull flag

See the diagram
Green soon

Wave 2 · markup in motion · bull flag. Green soon. If this low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion — the cheat-code leg.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Markup · Phase trend

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Power of 3 · high raid

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Wave target11.85
  2. Fib 38.26.8469
  3. Next resistance6.750
  4. Fib 506.710
  5. Fib 61.86.5731
  6. Resistance6.485
  7. Last6.454
  8. Support6.360
  9. Next support6.130
  10. Invalidation6.0381

1.4% above support · 0.5% to resistance

If resistance breaks

6.750

A close through 6.485 opens 6.750. If 6.360 holds, walk it toward 11.85. That is the only add.

If support breaks

6.130

A close under 6.360 looks for 6.130. If 6.0381 gives way, the next bid is 6.130. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Looks like green is close — hold the floor and Wave 3 / markup can start. Count: Wave 2 · 41% retrace of Wave 1. Next support 6.36000, then 6.13000. Resistance 6.48500, then 6.75000. Count dies under 6.03805.

No clean range — the tape is already expressing the last cause.

Elliott

Wave 2 — the trap

The move is over. Everyone says so. It is not.

Wave 2 gives back most of Wave 1. Classically it dies in the 50–78% box and refuses to break the Wave 1 start. This is the springboard. It is also where most people get shaken out because the story sounds finished. A Wave 2 that holds is the cheapest inventory you will see before Wave 3.

If the Wave 2 low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion. The count dies if Wave 1's origin breaks. That is the only line that matters.

Wyckoff

Markup — the easy part

Higher lows. The old ceiling is now the floor.

The range has done its job. Jumping the creek (range high) on volume is the sign of strength. Pullbacks to the old ceiling become support. This is where Wave 3 and markup rhyme. Ride it until a higher-low fails.

Buy dips against the last higher-low. The first failed higher-low is the warning that distribution may be starting.

Power of 3

PO3 — the raid (Judas swing)

Stops just got tagged. The breakout looks real. It often is not.

Manipulation is the stop-run: sweep the lows (or highs) of the box, then fail back inside. Retail reads the sweep as a breakout. Size reads it as fuel. A low raid that reclaims is a long. A high raid that fails is a short.

The raid is the setup. Expansion is the other way. Chasing the raid is how you fund the real move.

Pattern

Bull flag

A sharp pole, then a tight downward channel.

Flags are continuation. The pole is Wave 1 or 3. The flag is Wave 2 or 4. The cheat is the break of the flag high, measured as another pole.

Buy the flag high, stop under the flag low. Measured move = pole height added to the break.