AAVE

Aave

AAVE

95.76

+0.45% today·+9.60% 24h·+10.29% weekly

Playbook as of 5:19:20 AM

Desk

The lean

Green on the hourly chart
Hourlyalready greenDailyalready greenWeeklyalready green↑ 97.54 unless 92.10

80%green

20%red

Near-term lean is green on the hourly chart. That is not “green all week.” Hourly chart already green · Daily chart already green · Weekly chart already green.

Daily

Red soon

Head & shoulders

Wave 1 · High-range digestion

Support
87.50
Resistance
97.54
Unless
90.01

Thesis holds unless it loses 90.01.

Hourly

Green soon

No textbook pattern locked

Wave 2 · High-range digestion

Support
94.90
Resistance
97.80
Unless
94.90

Thesis holds unless it loses 94.90.

Weekly prediction

Green soon

Wave 2 · 88% retrace of Wave 1

Ascending triangle

↑ 97.54

unless ↓ 92.10

Magnet 97.54 up unless it takes 92.10 underneath. Weeks, not Friday. Rebuilds when you open this page or hit Refresh.

Swing

On the daily, short until 87.50.

Swing setup · spot / bags

Where to add, where to take profits

Built for swing and DCA — not for perps. The stop is the count kill. Leverage uses the ticket below.

Daily chart

Short until 87.50

Stop 97.54

On the daily, short until 87.50.

Head & shoulders on the daily. Supply is in control. Bounces are for reducing, not for heroics. Count: Wave 1 / A — first push. Next support 87.5000, then 85.7500. Resistance 97.5400, then 97.8000. Count dies under 85.1100.

Leverage

Short market 95.76 → 91.00. Stop 98.00 (45 pips).

Leverage · crypto perps / futures

40–60 pip stop, entry, take-profit, size

Not the swing ticket. Isolated only. You pick the leverage — we do not cap it.

1h · market entry

Short 95.76

Your leverage

10x · liq 105.34. Stop is 2.34%. Isolated only.

Next funding in 2h 41m.

Stop
98.00
45 pips
Take profit
91.00
4.97%
R : R
2.1R
to first TP
Liq at 10x
105.34
4.46 / $1k · 42.75 margin

Short market 95.76 → 91.00. Stop 98.00 (45 pips).

Short this print. extended into the high. Daily is Wave 1 / A — first push · High-range digestion. Isolated only. 1% risk per $1,000 is $10, about 4.46 units. Pick your own leverage.

Project

Aave is on-chain credit

Aave is on-chain credit. Fees, GHO, and safety-module design are the bag — not TVL screenshots.

Drivers — Borrow demand and fees · GHO / new markets · Safety module and governance

Risks — Bad debt event · Rate competition from newer money markets

Levels

If it breaks

Support, resistance, and the next magnet

Resistance

97.54

If resistance breaks

97.80

If 97.54 breaks, the next magnet is 97.80.

Support

87.50

If support breaks

85.75

If 87.50 breaks, the next bid is 85.75.

Path

Predictions for the next 90 days

Read from the daily and weekly charts

House / bear / bull path from this print — structure, not headlines.

Read from the daily and weekly charts — Wave 1 / Head & shoulders. Aave is on-chain credit. Fees, GHO, and safety-module design are the bag — not TVL screenshots.

30 days

92.29

87.50 — 96.74

Wave 1 on the daily. 30 days is the floor test — 87.50 or the next impulse. Borrow demand and fees.

60 days

88.83

85.11 — 100.18

If Wave 1 holds, 60 days walks toward 100.18. Aave is on-chain credit.

90 days

85.36

83.18 — 102.39

90 days prices the full head & shoulders plus GHO / new markets. Invalidation 85.11.

Charts

Daily, hourly, weekly

Weekly

Wave 2 · 88% retrace of Wave 1

Phase C spring — the last shakeout · Ascending triangle

See the diagram
Green soon

Wave 2 · phase c spring — the last shakeout · ascending triangle. Green soon. If this low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion — the cheat-code leg.

Weekly candles · support / resistance / invalidation · wave tags on swings

Elliott — where we are

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. A
  7. B
  8. C

Wyckoff — Accum. · Phase C

  1. Accum.
  2. Markup
  3. Distrib.
  4. Markdown

Spring printed — the last shakeout. That is the lie before markup.

Power of 3

  1. Accumulate
  2. Manipulate
  3. Expand

Levels

  1. Wave target134.43
  2. Next resistance102.52
  3. Resistance99.20
  4. Fib 38.295.87
  5. Last95.76
  6. Fib 5093.82
  7. Support92.10
  8. Fib 61.891.76
  9. Next support86.39
  10. Invalidation83.83

4.0% above support · 3.4% to resistance

If resistance breaks

102.52

A close through 99.20 opens 102.52. If 92.10 holds, walk it toward 134.43. That is the only add.

If support breaks

86.39

A close under 92.10 looks for 86.39. If 83.83 gives way, the next bid is 86.39. Do not invent a bounce until a higher-low prints and holds.

What to do

Looks like green is close — hold the floor and Wave 3 / markup can start. Count: Wave 2 · 88% retrace of Wave 1. Next support 92.1000, then 86.3900. Resistance 99.2000, then 102.520. Count dies under 83.8333.

Phase C — the last lie. Spring or upthrust. This is the entry, not the breakout.

Elliott

Wave 2 — the trap

The move is over. Everyone says so. It is not.

Wave 2 gives back most of Wave 1. Classically it dies in the 50–78% box and refuses to break the Wave 1 start. This is the springboard. It is also where most people get shaken out because the story sounds finished. A Wave 2 that holds is the cheapest inventory you will see before Wave 3.

If the Wave 2 low holds, Wave 3 is the expansion. The count dies if Wave 1's origin breaks. That is the only line that matters.

Wyckoff

Accumulation — building cause

Boring on purpose. Size is absorbing supply after a decline.

After markdown, the composite operator builds a cause. Phase A stops the downtrend (SC, AR). Phase B is time. Phase C is the spring — the last shakeout. Phase D shows strength. Phase E leaves the creek. Your job in accumulation is to mark the floor and wait for the lie, not to invent a trend.

The spring (false breakdown that closes back in) is the last cheap inventory. Markup starts when the range high is jumped on volume.

Power of 3

PO3 — accumulate in the box

Nothing is happening. Mark the high and the low.

Power of 3 starts with a range. This is the 'dead' tape. The first raid of either side is the setup, not the story. Tight ranges with shrinking energy are the coil.

Draw the box. Do not trade the middle. The raid of a side is the cheat-code entry if it reclaims.

Pattern

Ascending triangle

Flat supply, rising demand.

Buyers are willing to pay up into the same offer. A close through the flat high is the tell. Common in re-accumulation under a known ceiling.

The flat high is the creek. Jump it on volume. The rising floor is the stop.